Earthquakes (PART FOUR)

An earthquake is what people experience when there has been a significant and catastrophic release of strain energy that has accumulated in the earth’s crust. This strain energy can be built up in the earth’s crust by various physical geologic processes. However, the process that causes most earthquakes and the process that is of greatest concern here in Arkansas , is plate tectonics. The earth’s crust is made up of a group of large sections called tectonic plates. These tectonic plates are in constant motion, although rather slow motion in normal human terms. Right now, as you are hearing me, the North America Continent is being pushed westward by the opening up of the Atlantic Ocean . North America is getting further away from Europe by just a few centimeters each year. Resisting this motion is the Pacific Plate, the largest tectonic plate on the planet. This puts the North American continent in a squeeze and generates earthquakes along major fault zones. One of those fault zones is in northeast Arkansas and the boot heel of Missouri . As the strain energy builds up it deforms the Earth’s crust elastically. When that strain energy is strong enough to overcome the friction along an existing fault plane or is strong enough to fracture and displace fresh rock and we feel it, we call it an earthquake. The actual earthquake we feel is the elastic rebound of the Earth’s crust to a more relaxed condition.

Arkansas is at great risk of experiencing a large damaging earthquake in the not too distant future. Recent studies suggest that this threat is as great today as at any time in the last hundred years. Each day that goes by brings us one day closer to a catastrophe the like of which we have not seen in modern times in Arkansas . In today's modern society, Arkansas is even less resistant to the potential for damage than it was in the early 1800s. Although current understanding supports the view that great earthquakes are not very likely to occur for several hundred years, large damaging shocks are, in fact, due.

Earthquakes occur in the Earth’s crust at a place called the focus. Because we live on the surface we locate earthquakes by way of an epicenter which is the place on the Earth’s surface directly over the actual earthquake. Because the release of energy in an earthquake emanates from a surface of rupture rather than a point source, the energy waves are quite complex. They become even more so as the waves propagates through the Earth’s crust due to the variation of the physical properties of the rock layers, reflection and refraction of the waves, the topography of the surface, and the interference of the wave trains on each other. Earthquakes release their energy in the form of different wave types. These energy waves travel at different speeds and temporarily deform and shake the earth’s crust in different ways.                                                                                                                                        

Although we have mapped thousands of faults in the rocks of Arkansas , none of them are currently active, nor have they been at any time in the last thousands to millions of years. In many places in the world you can see the earthquake producing fault.                                

The effort to assess the seismic risk in the Mississippi Valley is, however, hampered because the faults and other geologic structures related to earthquakes there have been deeply buried over hundreds of millions of years by thick layers of sediment. Therefore, few clues to the causes of earthquakes in the NMSZ can be found at the Earth's surface. To unmask these hidden geologic structures related to earthquakes, scientists are using geophysical techniques, such as mapping variations in the strength of Earth's magnetic field. A magnetic map of the central Mississippi Valley region made by geophysicists with the USGS shows with exceptional clarity a major buried feature known as the Reelfoot Rift. Most earthquakes in the central United States occur within this northeast-trending structure, which formed more than 500 million years ago.

The potential for the recurrence of such earthquakes and their impact today on densely populated cities in and around the seismic zone has generated much research devoted to understanding earthquakes. Without being able to locate earthquakes we would not know really where the potentially damaging faults lay.

As there is nothing we can do to stop or prevent earthquakes our only hope is to understand them and the forces that they produce, and to be mentally and materially ready when one does occur.

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U.S. Census Bureau 2005 Population Estimates for Arkansas

 

2005 Population of Arkansas   2,779,154

 

COUNTY

POPULATION

HOMES

LARGEST CITY

POPULATION

The orange print denotes that that county is in the northeast quarter of the State.

CLAY

16,578

8,633

Piggott

3,777

GREENE

39,401

17,083

Paragould

18,540

MISSISSIPPI

47,911

22,573

Blytheville

22,906

CRITTENDEN

51,882

21,665

W. Memphis

28,014

LEE

11,545

4,975

Marianna

5,910

PHILLIPS

24,107

10,959

West Helena and Helena

17,186

DESHA

14,358

6,818

Dumas

5,520

CHICOT

13,027

6,098

Lake Village

2,791

TOTALS

218,807

98,804

**********

104,644

 

RANDOLPH

18,465

8,565

Pocahontas

6,151

LAWRENCE

17,153

8,219

Walnut Ridge

4,388

CRAIGHEAD

86,753

37,301

Jonesboro

57,435

POINSETT

25,349

11,337

Trumann

6,304

CROSS

19,237

8,297

Wynne

8,187

ST. FRANCIS

27,902

10,043

Forrest City

13,364

MONROE

9,302

5,203

Clarendon

2,072

ARKANSAS

20,073

9,795

Stuttgart

10,420

LINCOLN

14,262

5,080

Star City

2,138

DREW

18,693

8,672

Monticello

9,146

ASHLEY

23,178

10,886

Crossett

6,097

TOTALS

280,340

123,398

***********

112,102

 

SHARP

17,397

9,542

Cherokee Village

4,648

JACKSON

17,601

8,074

Newport

7,459

WOODRUFF

8,098

4,157

Augusta

2,759

PRAIRIE

9,113

3,894

Des Arc

2,001

JEFFERSON

81,700

35,176

Pine Bluff

53,905

CLEVELAND

8,903

3,941

Rison

1,271

BRADLEY

12,192

5,948

Warren

6,442

UNION

44,186

20,971

El Dorado

20,849

 

GRAND TOTALS

698,337

313,905

***********

311,880

The counties listed above are the three most eastern from the north to the south parts of the State. The population of this area is equal to 25% of the total population of Arkansas .

Estimates of Damage from an Earthquake on the Southern Portion of the New Madrid Fault Zone (NMFZ)

 

 

Arkansas from North to South three most Eastern counties

Richter Magnitude

6.0

7.0

Effects on People

 

Percentage Feeling Quake

100%

100%

Serious Injury

753

15,879

Fatalities

169

3,546

Displaced

106,309

197,375

       

 

 

 

 

 

                                 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northeast ¼ of the State of Arkansas Eastern most three counties 

Richter Magnitude

6.0

7.0

Effects on People

 

Percentage Feeling Quake

100%

100%

Serious Injury

718

15,529

Fatalities

0/163

3473

Displaced

100,799

181,770

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prepared by: Tom Harris , K5WTH